SANPETE HOME OWNER SAVVY

WOOHOO! WHAT "BUSINESS WEEK" HAS TO SAY--It's Dream Home Time

 Now's the Time to Buy Your Dream House

Well, the reason it's a perfect time to launch this column should be clear. There is an opportunity in residential real estate ownership unlike any we've seen in quite a long time, a perfect storm of sorts that is unlikely to last much longer. Home prices are down, interest rates remain near historical lows, and inventory is high. Thus, those with stable jobs and good credit can find their dream home, pay a price lower than any time in the last five or more years, finance it at a very favorable interest rate, and thereby be perfectly positioned for the housing recovery that the magazine wrote about.

Most of us who remember shopping for a home in 2005 and 2006—when national inventories were extremely low—recall how difficult it was to find our dream home in our preferred neighborhood at a price we considered affordable, let alone realistic. With so few houses available, any home in a desirable area sold regardless of its condition or layout—often before it was even officially listed.

According to the National Association of Realtors, the inventory of existing homes for sale peaked in November of 2008 at an 11 months' supply. There was a 9.6 month supply at the end of May and, from what I hear, it has fallen since then.

While you think your dream home will remain on the market forever; the selection is shrinking.

You Can't See the Future

If we all had a crystal ball, we'd time our purchases by buying at the bottom of every pricing cycle. However, we all know that most of us are no better at picking bottoms than we are at selling tops. NAR statistics indicate that the national average for existing home sale prices peaked at $230,200 in July of 2006. In January of 2009, its lowest point, the average fell to $164,800, down 28.3% from its peak.

Since then, despite foreclosures still making up a significant portion of the transactions, the average price has slowly climbed each month. It stood at $173,000 at the end of May.

While mortgage rates have always climbed slightly, they, too, are near historic lows. Freddie Mac (FRE) reported recently that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is down to 5.32%. When I bought my first home in 1992, I recall paying around 8.5% and thinking it was a good rate. My sentiment back then was largely driven by my vision of my father getting stuck in a rate around 18% back in the early 1980s.

Given the economy over the last couple of years, we are all rightfully skeptical. When you see your investment portfolio drop dramatically—the Dow fell by more than a third, and the S&P and NASDAQ did even worse last year—and the unemployment rate continue to rise you have to think twice when someone tells you home prices are on sale.

A Great Time to Shop

But the numbers—both current and historic—show it is indeed the case. While the unemployment rate is high, the rate of people losing their jobs is slowing and it appears that inflation has moved up the list as a primary economic concern. And it's reasonable to expect any increase in inflation to also include an increase in home prices.

I do not claim to be Nostradamus, but I am observant enough to understand we are at a unique and opportunistic point in time within the realm of residential real estate. There are some terrific homes on the market today, at prices historically quite low, with attractive interest rates available to those with good credit.

I'm not suggesting everyone run right out and buy a home above their means. But I am suggesting that if you don't yet own a home, or if you own a home and have been considering trading up, now is a great time to go shopping.

Rehabilitation loan program lets you buy your home and fix it too--FHA 203k

I PULLED THIS INFORMATION FROM THE FHA WEBSITE -- I have a client who wants to add on a garage.  It will increae the value of the home, and she will feel much safer.

SF Rehabilitation Loan Program (203k)
Funds for Handyman-Specials and Fixer-Uppers

The purchase of a house that needs repair is often a catch-22 situation, because the bank won't lend the money to buy the house until the repairs are complete, and the repairs can't be done until the house has been purchased.

HUD's 203(k) program can help you overcome this obstacle by enabling you to purchase or refinance a property plus the cost of making the repairs and improvements in one mortgage. The FHA-insured 203(k) loan is provided through approved lenders nationwide and is available to persons wanting to occupy the home.

The downpayment requirement for an owner-occupant (or a nonprofit organization or government agency) is approximately 3.5% of the acquisition and repair costs of the property.

The 203(k) loan includes the following steps:

    * A potential homebuyer locates a fixer-upper and executes a sales contract after doing a feasibility analysis of the property with his/her real estate professional. The contract should state that the buyer is seeking a 203(k) loan and that the contract is contingent on loan approval based on additional required repairs by the FHA or the lender.
    * The homebuyer then selects an FHA-approved 203(k) lender and arranges for a detailed proposal showing the scope of work to be done, including a detailed cost estimate on each repair or improvement of the project.
    * The appraisal is performed to determine the value of the property after renovation.
    * If the borrower passes the lender's credit-worthiness test, the loan closes for an amount that will cover the purchase or refinance cost of the property, the remodeling costs and the allowable closing costs. The amount of the loan will also include a contingency reserve of 10% to 20% of the total remodeling costs and is used to cover any extra work not included in the original proposal.
    * At closing, the seller of the property is paid off and the remaining funds are put in an escrow account to pay for the repairs and improvements during the rehabilitation period.
    * The mortgage payments and remodeling begin after the loan closes. The borrower can decide to have up to six mortgage payments (PITI) put into the cost of rehabilitation if the property is not going to be occupied during construction, but it cannot exceed the length of time it is estimated to complete the rehab.
    * Escrowed funds are released to the contractor during construction through a series of draw requests for completed work. To ensure completion of the job, 10% of each draw is held back; this money is paid after the lender determines there will be no liens on the property.

 

INTERESTING RESPONSE TO THE ARTICLE BELOW

Jul 18, 2009

Housing in a nutshell: Foreclosures up. Sales up. Prices down.

New research by Paola Sapienza of Northwestern University and Luigi Zingales from the University of Chicago, provide interesting insight into the foreclosure tsunami.

In the 1990-91 recession the study found that very few people who could afford their mortgage walked away from their homes. The magic number was 10. When equity declines exceeded 10% of the value of the home, owners started to waiver. A 10% loss and the default rate begins to rise. A 50% loss of home value and 17% of all owners preferred default to staying in the game.

The study concludes that in this cycle, a large segment of foreclosures were driven by a different metric. One in four recent mortgage defaults are strategic. Buyers of property make a business decision to walk away because they no longer like the deal. For 25% of all foreclosures, today, its not inability but unwillingness to make payments.

The study makes an interesting observation. The Obama administration is focused on cash flow to owners to keep them in their homes. This study points to a different reason for a large segment of foreclosures. Many people wont stay in their homes when the value of their mortgage exceeds the value of their home by 10% or more.

If the study is correct, then writing down the loan would significantly stem the tide. Since lenders are unlikely to do so, Im betting we will continue to see foreclosures for quite a while.

Thanks for Reading
Howard Bell
yourpropertypath.com

UTAH RANKS IN TOP TEN IN - OUCH! - FORECLOSURES

1.9 Million Foreclosure Filings Reported on More Than 1.5 Million U.S. Properties in First Half of 2009

  ISMEDIA, July 16, 2009-RealtyTrac®, a leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, has released its Midyear 2009 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, which shows a total of 1,905,723 foreclosure filings - default notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions - were reported on 1,528,364 U.S. properties in the first six months of 2009, a 9 percent increase in total properties from the previous six months and a nearly 15 percent increase in total properties from the first six months of 2008. The report also shows that 1.19 percent of all U.S. housing units (one in 84) received at least one foreclosure filing in the first half of the year.

Foreclosure filings were reported on 336,173 U.S. properties in June, the fourth straight monthly total exceeding 300,000 and helping to boost the second quarter total to the highest quarterly total since RealtyTrac began issuing its report in the first quarter of 2005. Foreclosure filings were reported on 889,829 U.S. properties in the second quarter, an increase of nearly 11 percent from the previous quarter and a 20 percent increase from the second quarter of 2008.

“In spite of the industry-wide moratorium earlier this year, along with local, state and national legislative action and increased levels of loan modification activity, foreclosure activity continues to increase to record levels,” noted James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “Unemployment-related foreclosures account for much of this increased activity, and the high number of borrowers who find themselves owing more on their mortgages than their homes’ are now worth represent a potentially significant future risk. Stemming the tide of foreclosures is a critical component to stabilizing the housing market, so it is imperative that the lending industry and the government work in tandem to find new approaches to address this issue.”

Nevada, Arizona, Florida post top state foreclosure rates
More than 6 percent of Nevada housing units (one in 16) received at least one foreclosure filing in the first half of 2009, giving it the nation’s highest foreclosure rate during the six-month period. A total of 68,708 Nevada properties received a foreclosure filing from January to June, an increase of 23 percent from the previous six months and an increase of 61 percent from the first half of 2008.

Arizona registered the nation’s second highest state foreclosure rate in the first half of 2009, with 3.37 percent of its housing units (one in 30) receiving at least one foreclosure filing, and Florida registered the nation’s third highest state foreclosure rate, with 3.08 percent of its housing units (one in 33) receiving at least one foreclosure filing.

Other states with foreclosure rates ranking among the nation’s 10 highest were California (2.94 percent), Utah (1.46 percent), Georgia (1.42 percent), Michigan (1.34 percent), Illinois (1.31 percent), Idaho (1.26 percent) and Colorado (1.25 percent).

California, Florida, Arizona post highest foreclosure totals
A total of 391,611 California properties received a foreclosure filing in the first half of 2009, the nation’s highest total and 2.94 percent of the state’s housing units (one in 34) - the nation’s fourth highest state foreclosure rate. California foreclosure activity in the first half of 2009 increased nearly 14 percent from the previous six months and increased nearly 15 percent from the first half of 2008.

With 268,064 properties receiving a foreclosure filing in the first six months of 2009, Florida documented the second highest state total. Florida foreclosure activity in the first half of 2009 increased 7 percent from the previous six months and was up nearly 42 percent from the first half of 2008.

Arizona’s 89,799 properties receiving a foreclosure filing in the first six months of 2009 was the third highest state total. Arizona foreclosure activity in the first half of 2009 increased 13 percent from the previous six months and was up nearly 55 percent from the first half of 2008.

Other states with totals among the 10 highest in the country were Illinois (68,932), Nevada (68,708), Michigan (60,786), Ohio (58,937), Georgia (56,391), Texas (49,144) and Virginia (28,368).

Report methodology
The RealtyTrac U.S. Foreclosure Market Report provides a count of the total number of properties with at least one foreclosure filing reported during the first half of the year at the state and national level. Data is also available at the individual county level. Data is collected from more than 2,200 counties nationwide, and those counties account for more than 90 percent of the U.S. population. RealtyTrac’s report incorporates documents filed in all three phases of foreclosure: Default - Notice of Default (NOD) and Lis Pendens (LIS); Auction - Notice of Trustee Sale and Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NTS and NFS); and Real Estate Owned, or REO properties (that have been foreclosed on and repurchased by a bank). If more than one foreclosure document is filed against a property during six-month period, only the most recent filing is counted in the report.

SUMMER SAFETY AND ELECTRICITY!

We recently had a scout troop at our home while they attended the Manti Temple Pageant.  We had a terrific rainstorm, and a lightning strike close enough to shake the house and make the hairs on the back of our necks stand up.  It sent the scouts scurrying to the safety of our basement!  Based on this article, perhaps they had the right idea!

Summer Recreation Safety Tips

 Print Article

RISMEDIA, July 2, 2009-Summer is a time for recreation, but it is also a time that brings new hazards. PECO encourages you to take your time to make sure children and family members stay safe and have fun at the same time during outdoor play, particularly around water or when summer storms occur.

Electricity is essential energy - it keeps us cool in the summer, lights our house, keeps the refrigerator cold, and runs the TV, stereo and computers. But you can create dangers with electricity. It doesn’t take much power for someone to hurt themselves - an adult can be killed with less than one-fifth of the electricity it takes to light a bulb.

Children often do not understand the dangerous situation that they can create with electricity. Take some time to get down and view the surroundings from a child’s vantage point to identify possible dangerous situations. For safety outdoors, PECO recommends children and adults follow these rules:

- Always assume that electrical equipment is energized. Stay away from electrical equipment on the ground and overhead. Never climb a utility pole or tower. Don’t play on or around pad-mounted electrical equipment. Electrical power poles and utility equipment should never be used as a playground.
Never climb trees near power lines. Even if the power lines aren’t touching the tree, they could touch when more weight is added to the branch.

- Fly kites and model airplanes safely away from trees and overhead power lines. If a kite gets tangled in a tree that’s near power lines, don’t climb up to get it.

- Never go into an electric substation. Electric substations contain highly dangerous high-voltage power equipment. Don’t retrieve a toy or rescue a pet that goes inside.

- Look up and around you. Always be aware of the location of power lines, particularly when using long metal tools like ladders and pool skimmers.

Doug Mokoid, PECO safety manager, suggests adults teach what they know about electrical safety. In most instances, Mokoid said, if potential safety concerns are taken into consideration and handled proactively, accidents could be avoided. “Electricity and water can be a dangerous combination for people,” he said. “Caution children and family members about the danger of using electrical appliances in wet areas - even wet grass can create a dangerous condition.”

- Supervise the use of extension cords outside, check them carefully for exposed wires, and make sure they are in good shape, and not frayed or cracked. Use only extension cords that are rated and marked for outdoor use, and are large enough to handle the current needed for the device you are using.

- Check that the prongs on the extension cord plugs are clean, not broken or bent. Make sure the ground prong is intact in a three-prong plug, and avoid use of adapters.

- Summertime is water recreation time for millions. While enjoying water activities, don’t create a dangerous situation that will dampen your summer fun. According to the federal Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC), deaths and serious shocks occur in and around swimming pools each year.

- Never touch an electrical appliance if you are wet; always dry off completely. And, never swim during a thunderstorm. If children wish to play with sprinklers or hoses, reinforce that they should be set up well away from any electrical outlets or appliances.

- Be careful using electrical appliances outdoors. Whether it is a bug zapper, an electric charcoal lighter, or a radio or CD player, caution must be exercised. Use battery operated, rather than electrical, appliances near swimming pools. Keep electronics and electrical appliances and tools at least 10 feet away from pools, ponds and wet surfaces.

- Be sure you use outlets that have weatherproof covers and ground fault circuit interrupters (GFCI) to prevent serious shock injuries. Any electrical outlets within 20 feet of a pool or spa should be equipped with a GCFI, or ground fault circuit interrupter. Use portable GFCIs for outdoor outlets that don’t have them.

- Never install pools underneath or near power lines. Watch for and stay away from overhead power lines when cleaning pools, sailing or fishing. Pools and decks should be built at least 5 feet away from all underground electrical lines, and at least 25 feet away from overhead electrical lines.

- Summer is often a peak season for one of the nation’s deadliest weather phenomena-lightning. That is why the National Weather Service has adopted the saying: When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors! Lightning can strike up to 10 miles from the area in which it is raining, even if you don’t see clouds. This means that if you can hear thunder, you’re within striking distance.

“If thunderstorms and lightning are approaching, the safest location is indoors away from doors and windows with the shades drawn. Stay away from water, electric appliances and other objects that could conduct electricity, and use only cordless or cell phones to make emergency calls,” said Mokoid. Phone use is the leading cause of indoor lightning injuries in the U.S.

A direct strike is not necessary for lightning voltage to enter your home through phone lines, electrical wires, cables and plumbing. Turn off and unplug appliances well before a storm nears - never during. Don’t expect a surge protector to save appliances from a lightning strike, unplug it as well. More information on lightning safety can be found at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration website at www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov.

Based in Philadelphia, PECO is an electric and natural gas utility subsidiary of Exelon Corporation.

Read more: http://rismedia.com/2009-07-01/summer-recreation-safety-tips/#ixzz0K8vI09Eq&C

How Does Yield Spread Help Buyers Buy?

Okay - this article has lots of technical stuff, but the bottom line is marked in yellow.  If you or someone you know whats to buy a home and is putting it off because of the economy, consider:  Where (financially) will I be if I buy a home now--lower prices, lower interest--than if I wait for 2 years?
(Reminds me of the guidance counselor talking to a man about his education.  Student:  "I can't get a masters degree now--it'll take me three years. Do you know HOW OLD I'll be in three years?"  Counselor:  "How old will you be in three years if you DON'T pursue a masters degree?"

How Does Yield Spread Help Buyers Buy?

Commentary by Andrew Downs Print Article

RISMEDIA, July 2, 2009-Opportunity is knocking fairly loudly for many considering homeownership. Home prices have declined in many markets around the country and tax incentives and other inducements have first-time home buyers and others weighing the possibilities.

Home affordability, as defined by the National Association of Realtors’ Housing Affordability Index, stands near all-time highs, thanks to declining prices and historically low mortgage rates. Yet, while some consumers hold off on purchases as they attempt to catch the home-price bottom, they could miss the mortgage-financing opportunity of a lifetime.

Consider the weekly average yield spread between Fannie Mae’s 6.5-year bond to the “benchmark” 10-year Treasury note, a classic relationship that involves the cost of making mortgage loans to consumers. Before disarray in the financial markets, the spread ran about 1% above Treasury bonds, reflecting investors’ confidence that owning debt of bonds backed by Fannie and Freddie is nearly as safe as owning government bonds.

The spread began widening in July 2007 as the global financial crisis unfolded, then spiked to above 2% during the next year as the U.S. economy seized and credit grew scarce. It grew to a startling 2.5% late last year as bond investors’ skittishness about continued delinquencies and defaults-and that the risk of these mortgages had not been properly assessed-resulted in higher risk premiums and higher costs to borrowers.

Late last year, however, the Federal Reserve Bank stepped in with a promise to purchase $500 billion in Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities, and raised that figure to $1.25 trillion in March. The move, combined with loan-modification initiatives and other federal intervention, restored investor confidence in the secondary market and mortgage rates declined rapidly. The yield spread in March dropped to 1% and zero and then fell to an unprecedented minus 0.5% by early May.

This condition is certainly unique and, likely, short-lived. Statistically, when the yield spread deviates from historical norms, the chances are great it will return to those levels. That could quickly drive mortgage rates higher. How much is anyone’s guess, but if the cost of making a mortgage goes up by 1.5% so, too, might mortgage interest rates.

Yet, factor in some additional variables. The marketplace for bonds relies heavily on purchases by offshore buyers who remain skeptical as the global economy continues in flux. Then there’s the inflation-deflation conundrum. Many fear a deflationary spiral-with falling prices for goods and services that lead to falling wages-can still drag down a stabilizing U.S. economy.

Conversely, others believe inflation will kick in, ushering in higher consumer prices, including higher mortgage rates. How this issue shakes out will have important implications for interest rates.

One thing is crystal clear: the odds that mortgage interest rates will rise are much greater than any continued mortgage-rate decline. And for most home buyers, the cost of mortgage financing can be as important as the price of the home itself.

Real estate sales professionals can help their customers make the best long-term decisions by demonstrating the degree to which housing prices and mortgage interest rates could move from this point forward. Customers waiting for the absolute lowest price on a house could miss a golden financing opportunity and the lowest overall cost of homeownership.

Andrew Downs is executive vice president at Prudential Real Estate and Relocation Services.

Read more: http://rismedia.com/2009-07-01/how-does-yield-spread-help-buyers-buy/#ixzz0K8pY41HZ&C